2015 Primetime Emmy Predictions: Variety & Reality Competition

Outstanding Variety Talk Series

Will win: The Colbert Report (Comedy Central)
Could win: The Daily Show with Jon Stewart (Comedy Central)
Dark horse: The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon (NBC)

  1. Jimmy Kimmel Live! (ABC)
  2. Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (HBO)
  3. Late Show with David Letterman (CBS)

Before Outstanding Variety Series was split to the Sketch and this category, The Colbert Report has won the past two years. It was the show that ended The Daily Show’s winning streak (10 consecutive years). Either could win. My bet for dark horse is Jimmy Fallon’s show, just because it’s Jimmy Fallon.

Outstanding Variety Sketch Series

Inside Amy Schumer (from jinglepunks.com)

Inside Amy Schumer (from jinglepunks.com)

  1. Inside Amy Schumer (Comedy Central)
  2. Saturday Night Live (NBC)
  3. Portlandia (IFC)
  4. Key & Peele (Comedy Central)
  5. Drunk History (Comedy Central)

It’s a toss-up between Inside Amy Schumer and SNL, but a little bit in favor of IAS for the Emmy love it had received. It would be nicer though if SNL would be the one to baptize this newly created category.

Outstanding Directing for a Variety Series

Will win: Inside Amy Schumer (Episode: “12 Angry Men Inside Amy Schumer”), Directed by Amy Schumer and Ryan McFaul (Comedy Central)
Could win: The Colbert Report (Episode: “Episode 11040”), Directed by James Hoskinson (Comedy Central)
Dark horse: The Daily Show with Jon Stewart (Episode: “Episode 20103”), Directed by Chuck O’Neil (Comedy Central)

  1. The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon (Episode: “Show 203”), Directed by Dave Diomedi (NBC)
  2. Late Show with David Letterman (Episode: “Show 4214”), Directed by Jerry Foley (CBS)

Outstanding Writing for a Variety Series

Will win: The Colbert Report (Comedy Central)
Could win: Inside Amy Schumer (Comedy Central)
Dark horse: The Daily Show with Jon Stewart (Comedy Central)

  1. Key & Peele (Comedy Central)
  2. Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (HBO)

The Colbert Report has won four times here, the most recent two in the last two years. Inside Amy Schumer might be the new titleholder though, if the Emmy voters really love the show that they decide to give them everything. The dark horse is still The Daily Show with Jon Stewart because it has won eight times before, despite the last being in 2012.

Outstanding Reality-Competition Program

Will win: The Voice (NBC)
Could win: The Amazing Race (CBS)
Dark horse: Dancing with the Stars (ABC)

  1. Top Chef (Bravo)
  2. So You Think You Can Dance (Fox)
  3. Project Runway (Lifetime)

Only three shows have won in this category, and it is because The Amazing Race has monopolized this category 10 times since its inception in 2003. Only Top Chef and The Voice managed to pull off a win. This year, I am betting for The Voice. They lost the momentum last year after losing to The Amazing Race, but The Voice is still a relatively young show that can charm Emmy voters. I will not, however, take away the credits from the technical masterpiece that is The Amazing Race, which could win again this year. I wish though that Survivor was here, since its production values are way more deserving of a nomination than some of the nominees here.

***

So there ends my list. Sorry if I didn’t proofread my series of posts since I just decided to write this like 5 hours ago, and the Emmys will be in less than 12 hours. It feels actually nice to do this for the first time, since I have been reading a lot about award-giving bodies and comparing their winners and reading their histories and observing their trends in the past two years. I’m quite sure that I won’t do well predicting the winners for tomorrow, but it feels great to rationalize my predictions in some way.

Thank you!

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